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Please read that instead. Your friends and colleagues are talking about something called "Bayes' Theorem" or "Bayes' Rule", or something called Bayesian reasoning.
They sound really enthusiastic about it, too, so you google and find a webpage about Bayes' Theorem and The page you found gives a definition of it, but it doesn't say what it is, or why it's useful, or why your friends would be interested in it.
It looks like this random statistics thing. So you came here. Maybe you don't understand what the equation says. Maybe your friends are all wearing Bayes' Theorem T-shirts, and you're feeling left out.
Maybe you're a girl looking for a boyfriend, but the boy you're interested in refuses to date anyone who "isn't Bayesian".
What matters is that Bayes is cool, and if you don't know Bayes, you aren't cool. Why does a mathematical concept generate this strange enthusiasm in its students?
What is the so-called Bayesian Revolution now sweeping through the sciences, which claims to subsume even the experimental method itself as a special case? What is the secret that the adherents of Bayes know? What is the light that they have seen? Soon you will know. Soon you will be one of us.
While there are a few existing online explanations of Bayes' Theorem, my experience with trying to introduce people to Bayesian reasoning is that the existing online explanations are too abstract. Bayesian reasoning is very counterintuitive. People do not employ Bayesian reasoning intuitively, find it very difficult to learn Bayesian reasoning when tutored, and rapidly forget Bayesian methods once the tutoring is over.
This holds equally true for novice students and highly trained professionals in a field. Bayesian reasoning is apparently one of those things which, like quantum mechanics or the Wason Selection Test, is inherently difficult for humans to grasp with our built-in mental faculties.
Or so they claim. Here you will find an attempt to offer an intuitive explanation of Bayesian reasoning - an excruciatingly gentle introduction that invokes all the human ways of grasping numbers, from natural frequencies to spatial visualization.Wordle is a toy for generating “word clouds” from text that you provide.
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SCIgen is a program that generates random Computer Science research papers, including graphs, figures, and citations. It uses a hand-written context-free grammar to form all elements of the papers.
Our aim here is to maximize amusement, rather than coherence. James Raggi's Random Esoteric Creature Generator is both a collection of random attribute tables and a manifesto for making your games mysterious and magical again.
Our generator is designed with you in mind, and we take your needs into account at every stage of development. We’re always open to constructive criticism, and we strive to be better daily. Our essay title maker is among the best because of this attitude.
An essay title generator is a simple and handy tool that provides the multiple ideas for your essay titles using the advanced algorithms that gather the most creative .